Abstract:
Technology has allowed for a substantial increase in success rate of identifying the
presence of energy sources such as oil and natural gas. Data mining, an emerging technology
characterized by significantly advanced analytical tools, can contribute to this success rate as it has
the potential to guide or at least assist opportunists in hydrocarbon prediction. To make a
prediction about presence of hydrocarbon reserve beneath the surface of earth involves geological,
geochemical, seismic and microbial prospecting. The test methods involved in the mentioned
process need a great deal of cost and time. This project is aimed at developing decision support
system to improve the process of hydrocarbon need evaluation and reserve detection by integrating
the methods and tools from data mining and potential surface analysis to approach the problem
from an interdisciplinary stance.
In the thesis, the world countries are classified with respect to sustainable energy
development with the underlying assumption that hydrocarbon is the major source of energy all
over the world. The addressed question is whether the hydrocarbon reserves in the world comply
with its consumption? As a result, two possibilities arose to ensure energy sustainability: (1). To
provide an optimal framework for improvement in hydrocarbon exploration process. (2). To
provide a framework for improvement in hydrocarbon consumption. The study is about the
aforementioned.
The presence of hydrocarbon reserves beneath earth‘s surface is predicted on the basis of
either (a). Surface indicators or (b). Beneath surface parameters. The surface indicators which are
considered in this project may consist of geological and microbial indicators. In state of the art
geological and microbial methodologies, the cost and time involved is in affordable. The research
attempts to replace geological predictions with intelligent remote sensing and microbial indications
with microbe data mining. But the existing techniques of data mining cannot produce desired
accuracy if applied to surface indicators database. Some data mining techniques for mining
temporal spatial and non spatial data related to surface indicators of hydrocarbon reserves are
proposed. The model includes the classification mechanism of world countries on the basis of
sustainable hydrocarbon development and then extraction of useful patterns from surface
indicators to predict hydrocarbon reserve in a time and cost effective manner. A series of empirical investigations have been made to evaluate the performance of proposed techniques using different
and diverse databases that show the effectiveness of methodology.