Abstract:
The goal of this study was to develop a groundwater flow model and a contaminant transport
model to understand the fate of the Arsenic in the groundwater. Visual MODFLOW 4.0, the
Waterloo Hydrogeologic Inc. software was utilized for this study. A three-dimensional, finite-
difference, groundwater flow model was used to develop a regional conceptualization of the flow
system in the D. I. Khan area. The D. I. Khan sand aquifer system has been divided into three
gently sloping geohydrologic units. The 2900 Km 2 study area was divided into 33852 cells with
dimensions of 500 m by 500 m comprising of 186 columns and 182 rows and containing three
layers. The finite difference block centered grid was used with an average depth of model
simulation was set to 100 meters that almost equals to the average depth of existing tube wells
(water wells). The model region was bounded by Indus River, Takwarrah Nala and the Sheikh
Haider Zaman Nala in the east, northeast and southwest respectively. The area also consists of
Gomal Nala, Chashma Right Bank Canal (CRBC) and Paharpur canal. The model was also
adorned with the various hydraulic parameters spatial distributions including hydraulic
conductivity (K), initial heads, recharge, porosity, specific storage (Ss), specific yield (Sy), top
and bottom elevation of aquifers. The model was initially run for 10 years in steady state for the
year 1985. In steady state a single time step was used. The model was calibrated with several
runs by modifying the hydraulic conductivities and recharge values. The Parameter Estimation
and Testing (PEST) has been used to do the calibration with the minimum and maximum ranges
of 30 hydraulic conductivities and recharge values. The model was also calibrated in transient
state in 1985 using steady state heads as initial conditions and assessing the draw downs. The
area has been studied with respect to the various anthropogenic activities and found to be
contaminated with high salinity, sulphates and Arsenic. The contaminant transport model MT3D
was used with the observed Arsenic (As) concentrations and calibrated in 2010 for steady state
and non steady state conditions. Model realizations were further projected up to 2025 to monitor
the spreading of Arsenic concentration in the groundwater. The preliminary management
scenarios were also discussed to address the issue at hand for safety of the inhabitants in the
study area.
The study results include estimates of hydraulic and transport properties, direction of
regional flow, contaminant transport, its fate, prevention, remediation and a discussion of the
iresults to gain a more complete understanding of the subsurface flow and contaminant transport
system. Perhaps this work will be the first step in learning more about the subsurface flow
system of the D. I. Khan aquifer, and provide a useful tool to manage and properly plan future
management of the groundwater resources.