Abstract:
This thesis analyzes the impact of climate change on health in two cities of Pakistan; i. e.
Lahore and Rawalpindi. Lahore is relatively hotter and Rawalpindi is relatively colder. The data
have been collected from selected hospitals of both cities. The study focuses on the nexus
between GHG emission; rising temperature and health. We investigate what is the contribution
of transport sector in GHG emissions and resultantly how the emissions (one of the indicators of
temperature change) have caused temperature to rise and then estimate the relationship between
temperature and health.
In this study the relationship between emissions from the transport sector and Pakistan‟s
temperature has been tested empirically. Based on data of carbon dioxide from road transport
sector, minimum and maximum emissions of carbon dioxide emissions from road transport
sector and their damages in financial terms have been forecasted up till 2030.
The data of cardiovascular diseases (indicator of state of health) from different hospitals
of Lahore and Rawalpindi have been collected to assess the relationship between health and
temperature. The study has found inverse relationship between cardiovascular diseases and
temperature for Lahore whereas this relationship has been found to be positive for Rawalpindi.
This study also calculated the direct and indirect cost of cardiovascular diseases (CVD).
The findings of this study show that direct cost of CVD is much larger then indirect cost.
The study also uses the Contingent Valuation method to calculate the willingness to pay
for a better traffic system and enhanced health program specifically for cardiovascular diseases
in Lahore. The findings indicate that the people of Lahore are more conscious about their health
as they are ready to pay more for improved health program as compared to better traffic system.
